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Dissertation/Thesis Abstract

Anticipating Social Movement National Security Threats: Social Media Content’s Potential in Developing a Structured Analytical Model
by Davis, Brigit L., D.S.S., National American University, 2021, 197; 28410771
Abstract (Summary)

Worldwide social movements are increasingly engendering most threats a nation-state faces internally and externally, which can have long-term implications for its national security. Research within available literature on predicting social movement threats to nation-state security revealed a significant gap. This research helped address the gap by investigating the possibility of United States strategic security practitioners developing a structured analytical model using social media content. The investigation focused on finding social movement themes associated with movements that have posed a national security threat in literature, assessing the ability to observe those themes in social movement social media content, and exploring structured analytical techniques to develop a model. This research revealed it is possible to observe themes from literature in social media content, as six out of the six primary themes observed in the literature appeared in the collected data. Exploring the paired comparison and weighted ranking structured analytical techniques also revealed distinct possibilities in predicting emerging threats. Attaining the ability to predict potential threats at the level of specificity required for a nation-state to implement non-violent pre-emptive actions to reduce or eliminate the threat before it becomes a reality would be a significant advancement in the field of strategic security. This research did not produce a fully vetted model using social movement themes and social movement social media content; however, pursuing research to explore the possibilities further and develop one is the key recommendation resulting from this research effort.

Indexing (document details)
Advisor: Wenger, Anthony N.
Commitee: Eisenfeld, Beth L., Nimon, Harry I.
School: National American University
Department: Strategic Security
School Location: United States -- South Dakota
Source: DAI-A 82/10(E), Dissertation Abstracts International
Subjects: Business administration, Sociology
Keywords: National security, Predictive analytics, Social media, Social movements, Structured analytical model, Threats
Publication Number: 28410771
ISBN: 9798597098142
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